BP vs TR Live Match Intelligence

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Public model signal

BP

Chasing side under pressure: required rate is above current scoring pace.

Score204/7

Overs20.0 overs

Expected finalExpected final 204

BattingBP

BowlingTR

CRRCRR 10.20

RRRRRR 99.00

ResourcesResources 0.0%

Resource WPResource WP 0%

Par paceScore vs par pace -10.0

PressurePressure 202.95

How these metrics are calculated

CRR: current runs divided by completed overs. RRR: runs still required divided by overs remaining.
Expected final: resource-calculator estimate for the completed innings. Projected score: current-rate extrapolation.
Venue average: full-innings venue scoring baseline. Score vs par: current score minus resource-adjusted par.
Resources: model-calculated resources remaining. Resource WP: the structural win probability from that resource state.
Model probability: calibrated public win probability from the selected gender-aware T20 or ODI model.

Sources: the public-safe prediction payload and the match snapshot. Raw training features are not exposed.

Win Probability

Current model probability

BP 0%TR 100%

The probability line shows how the model view changed during the match.

16.1Innings 220.0

Model probability by update 50% balance

Open prediction update log (24 updates)

16.1152/40%Expected 185

16.2158/40%Expected 189

16.3159/40%Expected 189

16.4160/40%Expected 188

17.0162/40%Expected 188

17.0160/50%Expected 182

17.0161/50%Expected 183

17.1167/50%Expected 188

17.2171/50%Expected 191

17.3177/50%Expected 195

17.4177/50%Expected 194

18.0178/50%Expected 194

18.1184/50%Expected 198

18.2185/50%Expected 198

18.3186/50%Expected 197

18.4186/60%Expected 194

19.0187/60%Expected 194

19.0188/60%Expected 195

19.0189/60%Expected 196

19.1191/60%Expected 196

19.2192/60%Expected 195

19.3192/70%Expected 192

19.4198/70%Expected 196

20.0204/70%Expected 204

Expected finish

Expected final versus venue

Expected final comes from the model resource calculator; venue average is the full-innings venue scoring baseline.

Expected finalExpected final 204

Venue averageVenue average 139.4

Resource and pace

What the innings has left

Par pace compares current score with resource-adjusted par. CRR is runs per over; RRR is the required chase rate.

Resources remainingResources 0.0%

CRR / RRRCRR 10.20 · RRR 99.00

Pressure

Why the state feels difficult

The required rate is elevated, so the current resource position is carrying meaningful chase pressure.

Momentum

How the match is moving

The recent probability path is relatively stable.

Confidence

How strongly to read the signal

The current model lean is pronounced, while the timeline and freshness label show why it should not be read as certainty.

Model factors

Why the signal leans this way

Expected final 204, 64.6 above the venue average.
Current score is 10 runs below resource-adjusted par.
Chase pressure is 99 required runs per over from here.

These are public-safe factors from the current match state; raw training features remain private.

Match briefing

Context beyond the score

Venue behaviourTracking above the venue baseline.

Toss impactToss impact will appear when toss context is available.

Expected score204

Turning point19.1 · 191/6 · +0%

Latest swing0% to 0%

This public briefing reuses the explanation-pack pattern from the intelligence/video workflow. Player picks, market replay, and operator-only fields stay excluded.

Win probability

BP

Chasing side under pressure: required rate is above current scoring pace.

What changed

Latest visible shift

+0%

Why it changed

Current explanation

Expected final 204, 64.6 above the venue average.

What matters next

Next watchpoint

Use this route for deeper probability and match-state interpretation while keeping the canonical match page as the score-first live entry point.

Keep the signal

Get probability updates

Follow the match from score context to model change without losing the live match page.