CZE vs ISR Live Match Intelligence

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Public model signal

CZE

ISR win probability down 9% across the recent overs.

45%

Score64-3

Overs9.3 overs

Expected finalExpected final 155

Run-rate viewRun-rate projection 135

BattingCZE

BowlingISR

CRRCRR 6.74

ResourcesResources 57.1%

Resource WPResource WP 34%

Par paceScore vs par pace -20.8

PressurePressure 1.50

How these metrics are calculated

CRR: current runs divided by completed overs. RRR: runs still required divided by overs remaining.
Expected final: resource-calculator estimate for the completed innings. Projected score: current-rate extrapolation.
Venue average: full-innings venue scoring baseline. Score vs par: current score minus resource-adjusted par.
Resources: model-calculated resources remaining. Resource WP: the structural win probability from that resource state.
Model probability: calibrated public win probability from the selected gender-aware T20 or ODI model.

Sources: the public-safe prediction payload and the match snapshot. Raw training features are not exposed.

Win Probability

Current model probability

CZE 45%ISR 55%

The probability line shows how the model view changed during the match.

StartInnings 19.3

Model probability by update 50% balance

Open prediction update log (62 updates)

Inn 1 · Update0/048%Expected 160

Inn 1 · Update1/049%Expected 160

Inn 1 · 0.12/061%Expected 162

Inn 1 · 0.22/054%Expected 161

Inn 1 · 0.33/059%Expected 161

Inn 1 · 0.44/061%Expected 161

Inn 1 · 0.54/058%Expected 160

Inn 1 · 0.55/061%Expected 161

Inn 1 · 1.06/064%Expected 162

Inn 1 · 1.16/062%Expected 160

Inn 1 · 1.26/051%Expected 159

Inn 1 · 1.36/051%Expected 158

Inn 1 · 1.46/051%Expected 156

Inn 1 · 1.56/137%Expected 151

Inn 1 · 2.06/141%Expected 150

Inn 1 · 2.16/132%Expected 149

Inn 1 · 2.28/141%Expected 150

Inn 1 · 2.39/141%Expected 150

Inn 1 · 2.49/137%Expected 149

Inn 1 · 2.511/141%Expected 150

Inn 1 · 3.012/138%Expected 150

Inn 1 · 3.112/138%Expected 149

Inn 1 · 3.218/150%Expected 155

Inn 1 · 3.318/150%Expected 154

Inn 1 · 3.418/150%Expected 153

Inn 1 · 3.522/155%Expected 157

Inn 1 · 4.024/151%Expected 158

Inn 1 · 4.124/148%Expected 158

Inn 1 · 4.226/161%Expected 159

Inn 1 · 4.227/161%Expected 160

Inn 1 · 4.333/164%Expected 167

Inn 1 · 4.433/247%Expected 158

Inn 1 · 4.533/247%Expected 157

Inn 1 · 5.033/246%Expected 157

Inn 1 · 5.032/246%Expected 155

Inn 1 · 5.133/241%Expected 155

Inn 1 · 5.233/239%Expected 154

Inn 1 · 5.334/239%Expected 154

Inn 1 · 5.436/246%Expected 155

Inn 1 · 5.537/246%Expected 155

Inn 1 · 6.038/246%Expected 155

Inn 1 · 6.139/247%Expected 155

Inn 1 · 6.242/260%Expected 158

Inn 1 · 6.343/260%Expected 158

Inn 1 · 6.443/260%Expected 157

Inn 1 · 6.546/261%Expected 159

Inn 1 · 7.046/252%Expected 158

Inn 1 · 7.146/252%Expected 157

Inn 1 · 7.247/252%Expected 157

Inn 1 · 7.351/257%Expected 160

Inn 1 · 7.452/265%Expected 160

Inn 1 · 7.553/265%Expected 160

Inn 1 · 8.057/267%Expected 164

Inn 1 · 8.158/267%Expected 164

Inn 1 · 8.258/265%Expected 163

Inn 1 · 8.360/267%Expected 164

Inn 1 · 8.461/269%Expected 164

Inn 1 · 9.061/261%Expected 162

Inn 1 · 9.161/352%Expected 154

Inn 1 · 9.261/350%Expected 153

Inn 1 · 9.361/346%Expected 152

Inn 1 · 9.364/352%Expected 155

Expected finish

Expected final versus venue

Expected final comes from the model resource calculator; venue average is the full-innings venue scoring baseline.

Expected finalExpected final 155

Venue averageVenue average 134.0

Resource and pace

What the innings has left

Par pace compares current score with resource-adjusted par. CRR is runs per over; RRR is the required chase rate.

Resources remainingResources 57.1%

CRR / RRRCRR 6.74 · RRR 0.00

Pressure

Why the state feels difficult

The model sees measurable pressure against the current resource position.

Momentum

How the match is moving

Recent updates have moved toward the batting side. The timeline shows the direction rather than a certainty.

Confidence

How strongly to read the signal

The model sees a finely balanced match; small score or resource changes can move the direction.

Model factors

Why the signal leans this way

Expected final 155, 21 above the venue average.
Current score is 20.8 runs below resource-adjusted par.
Current scoring rate is 6.7 runs per over.

These are public-safe factors from the current match state; raw training features remain private.

Match briefing

Context beyond the score

Venue behaviourTracking above the venue baseline.

Toss impactToss impact will appear when toss context is available.

Expected score155

Turning point9.0 · 61/2 · -8%

Latest swing46% to 52%

This public briefing reuses the explanation-pack pattern from the intelligence/video workflow. Player picks, market replay, and operator-only fields stay excluded.

Win probability

CZE

45%

ISR win probability down 9% across the recent overs.

What changed

Latest visible shift

-8%

Why it changed

Current explanation

Expected final 155, 21 above the venue average.

What matters next

Next watchpoint

Use this route for deeper probability and match-state interpretation while keeping the canonical match page as the score-first live entry point.

Keep the signal

Get probability updates

Follow the match from score context to model change without losing the live match page.