EDR W vs SDS W Live Win Probability & Match Intelligence | EDR W vs SDS W

EDR W vs SDS W Live Match Intelligence

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Public model signal

W

W are tracking 13 runs below par.

66%
Score54-1
Overs6.1 overs
Expected finalExpected final 183
Run-rate viewRun-rate projection 175
BattingSDS-W
BowlingSDS
CRRCRR 8.76
ResourcesResources 76.9%
Resource WPResource WP 48%
Par paceScore vs par pace -13.3
PressurePressure 0.50
How these metrics are calculated
  • CRR: current runs divided by completed overs. RRR: runs still required divided by overs remaining.
  • Expected final: resource-calculator estimate for the completed innings. Projected score: current-rate extrapolation.
  • Venue average: full-innings venue scoring baseline. Score vs par: current score minus resource-adjusted par.
  • Resources: model-calculated resources remaining. Resource WP: the structural win probability from that resource state.
  • Model probability: calibrated public win probability from the selected gender-aware T20 or ODI model.

Sources: the public-safe prediction payload and the match snapshot. Raw training features are not exposed.

Win Probability

Current model probability

W 66%EDR W 34%

The probability line shows how the model view changed during the match.

StartInnings 16.1
Model probability by update 50% balance
Open prediction update log (42 updates)
Inn 1 · Update0/048%Expected 160
Inn 1 · 0.10/048%Expected 159
Inn 1 · 0.11/050%Expected 160
Inn 1 · 0.21/049%Expected 159
Inn 1 · 0.35/054%Expected 164
Inn 1 · 0.36/058%Expected 166
Inn 1 · 0.45/050%Expected 163
Inn 1 · 0.55/139%Expected 156
Inn 1 · 1.06/141%Expected 156
Inn 1 · 1.16/137%Expected 155
Inn 1 · 1.210/143%Expected 157
Inn 1 · 1.311/145%Expected 157
Inn 1 · 1.415/147%Expected 160
Inn 1 · 1.515/147%Expected 159
Inn 1 · 2.015/147%Expected 159
Inn 1 · 2.119/151%Expected 162
Inn 1 · 2.220/151%Expected 162
Inn 1 · 2.321/151%Expected 163
Inn 1 · 2.422/152%Expected 163
Inn 1 · 2.522/151%Expected 162
Inn 1 · 3.023/150%Expected 163
Inn 1 · 3.127/158%Expected 166
Inn 1 · 3.227/155%Expected 166
Inn 1 · 3.328/155%Expected 166
Inn 1 · 3.429/155%Expected 167
Inn 1 · 3.530/155%Expected 167
Inn 1 · 4.030/161%Expected 166
Inn 1 · 4.130/151%Expected 165
Inn 1 · 4.031/161%Expected 167
Inn 1 · 4.135/164%Expected 172
Inn 1 · 4.235/161%Expected 171
Inn 1 · 4.336/162%Expected 171
Inn 1 · 4.440/164%Expected 176
Inn 1 · 4.544/169%Expected 180
Inn 1 · 5.044/168%Expected 179
Inn 1 · 5.145/168%Expected 179
Inn 1 · 5.246/168%Expected 179
Inn 1 · 5.350/172%Expected 183
Inn 1 · 5.451/172%Expected 183
Inn 1 · 5.552/174%Expected 183
Inn 1 · 6.052/166%Expected 181
Inn 1 · 6.154/169%Expected 183

Expected finish

Expected final versus venue

Expected final comes from the model resource calculator; venue average is the full-innings venue scoring baseline.

Expected finalExpected final 183
Venue averageVenue average 178.2

Resource and pace

What the innings has left

Par pace compares current score with resource-adjusted par. CRR is runs per over; RRR is the required chase rate.

Resources remainingResources 76.9%
CRR / RRRCRR 8.76 · RRR 0.00

Pressure

Why the state feels difficult

The model sees measurable pressure against the current resource position.

Momentum

How the match is moving

Recent updates have moved toward the batting side. The timeline shows the direction rather than a certainty.

Confidence

How strongly to read the signal

The model has a moderate lean, but the balance can still change with the next meaningful phase.

Model factors

Why the signal leans this way

  • Expected final 183, 4.8 above the venue average.
  • Current score is 13.3 runs below resource-adjusted par.
  • Current scoring rate is 8.8 runs per over.

These are public-safe factors from the current match state; raw training features remain private.

Match briefing

Context beyond the score

Venue behaviourTracking above the venue baseline.

Toss impactToss impact will appear when toss context is available.

Expected score183

Turning point5.5 · 52/1 · +2%

Latest swing66% to 69%

This public briefing reuses the explanation-pack pattern from the intelligence/video workflow. Player picks, market replay, and operator-only fields stay excluded.

Win probability

W

66%

W are tracking 13 runs below par.

What changed

Latest visible shift

+4%

Why it changed

Current explanation

Expected final 183, 4.8 above the venue average.

What matters next

Next watchpoint

Use this route for deeper probability and match-state interpretation while keeping the canonical match page as the score-first live entry point.

Keep the signal

Get probability updates

Follow the match from score context to model change without losing the live match page.