PAK GR vs PAK WH Match Intelligence And Turning Point Review

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Public model signal

GR

GR win probability up 100% across the recent overs.

100%

Score277/5

Overs49.0 overs

Expected finalExpected final 277

BattingGR

BowlingPakistan

CRRCRR 5.65

RRRRRR 99.00

ResourcesResources 0.0%

Resource WPResource WP 100%

Par paceScore vs par pace -199.1

PressurePressure 173.25

How these metrics are calculated

CRR: current runs divided by completed overs. RRR: runs still required divided by overs remaining.
Expected final: resource-calculator estimate for the completed innings. Projected score: current-rate extrapolation.
Venue average: full-innings venue scoring baseline. Score vs par: current score minus resource-adjusted par.
Resources: model-calculated resources remaining. Resource WP: the structural win probability from that resource state.
Model probability: calibrated public win probability from the selected gender-aware T20 or ODI model.

Sources: the public-safe prediction payload and the match snapshot. Raw training features are not exposed.

Win Probability

Current model probability

GR 100%PAK GR 0%

The probability line shows how the model view changed during the match, keeping the first-innings batting side as the same reference across both innings.

34.1Innings 249.0

Model probability by update 50% balance

Open prediction update log (89 updates)

Inn 2 · 34.1206/30%Expected 206

Inn 2 · 34.2206/30%Expected 206

Inn 2 · 34.3206/30%Expected 206

Inn 2 · 34.4206/30%Expected 206

Inn 2 · 34.5206/30%Expected 206

Inn 2 · 35.0207/30%Expected 207

Inn 2 · 35.1213/30%Expected 213

Inn 2 · 35.2214/30%Expected 214

Inn 2 · 35.3214/30%Expected 214

Inn 2 · 35.4214/30%Expected 214

Inn 2 · 35.5218/30%Expected 218

Inn 2 · 36.0218/40%Expected 218

Inn 2 · 36.1219/40%Expected 219

Inn 2 · 36.2220/40%Expected 220

Inn 2 · 36.4221/40%Expected 221

Inn 2 · 36.5221/40%Expected 221

Inn 2 · 37.0222/40%Expected 222

Inn 2 · 37.1222/40%Expected 222

Inn 2 · 37.2222/40%Expected 222

Inn 2 · 37.3226/40%Expected 226

Inn 2 · 37.4226/40%Expected 226

Inn 2 · 37.5226/40%Expected 226

Inn 2 · 38.0227/40%Expected 227

Inn 2 · 38.1229/40%Expected 229

Inn 2 · 38.2229/40%Expected 229

Inn 2 · 38.3230/40%Expected 230

Inn 2 · 38.4230/40%Expected 230

Inn 2 · 38.5231/40%Expected 231

Inn 2 · 39.0231/40%Expected 231

Inn 2 · 39.1231/40%Expected 231

Inn 2 · 39.2232/40%Expected 232

Inn 2 · 39.3234/40%Expected 234

Inn 2 · 39.4235/40%Expected 235

Inn 2 · 39.5236/40%Expected 236

Inn 2 · 40.0237/40%Expected 237

Inn 2 · 40.1238/40%Expected 238

Inn 2 · 40.2239/40%Expected 239

Inn 2 · 40.3239/40%Expected 239

Inn 2 · 40.4243/40%Expected 243

Inn 2 · 41.0244/40%Expected 244

Inn 2 · 41.1244/40%Expected 244

Inn 2 · 41.2245/40%Expected 245

Inn 2 · 41.3245/40%Expected 245

Inn 2 · 41.4246/40%Expected 246

Inn 2 · 41.5246/40%Expected 246

Inn 2 · 42.0246/40%Expected 246

Inn 2 · 42.1248/40%Expected 248

Inn 2 · 42.2248/50%Expected 248

Inn 2 · 42.4248/50%Expected 248

Inn 2 · 42.5248/50%Expected 248

Inn 2 · 43.0248/50%Expected 248

Inn 2 · 43.1248/50%Expected 248

Inn 2 · 43.2249/50%Expected 249

Inn 2 · 43.3250/50%Expected 250

Inn 2 · 43.4251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 43.5251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 44.0251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 44.1251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 44.2251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 44.3251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 44.4251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 44.5251/50%Expected 251

Inn 2 · 45.0252/50%Expected 252

Inn 2 · 45.1252/50%Expected 252

Inn 2 · 45.2252/50%Expected 252

Inn 2 · 45.3253/50%Expected 253

Inn 2 · 45.4254/50%Expected 254

Inn 2 · 45.5255/50%Expected 255

Inn 2 · 46.0256/50%Expected 256

Inn 2 · 46.1257/50%Expected 257

Inn 2 · 46.2258/50%Expected 258

Inn 2 · 46.2259/50%Expected 259

Inn 2 · 46.2262/50%Expected 262

Inn 2 · 46.3263/50%Expected 263

Inn 2 · 46.4264/50%Expected 264

Inn 2 · 46.5264/50%Expected 264

Inn 2 · 47.0265/50%Expected 265

Inn 2 · 47.1266/50%Expected 266

Inn 2 · 47.2267/50%Expected 267

Inn 2 · 47.4271/50%Expected 271

Inn 2 · 47.3271/50%Expected 271

Inn 2 · 47.5271/50%Expected 271

Inn 2 · 48.0271/50%Expected 271

Inn 2 · 48.1272/50%Expected 272

Inn 2 · 48.2272/50%Expected 272

Inn 2 · 48.3272/50%Expected 272

Inn 2 · 48.4273/50%Expected 273

Inn 2 · 48.5273/50%Expected 273

Inn 2 · 49.0277/5100%Expected 277

Expected finish

Expected final versus venue

Expected final comes from the model resource calculator; venue average is the full-innings venue scoring baseline.

Expected finalExpected final 277

Venue averageVenue average 156.5

Resource and pace

What the innings has left

Par pace compares current score with resource-adjusted par. CRR is runs per over; RRR is the required chase rate.

Resources remainingResources 0.0%

CRR / RRRCRR 5.65 · RRR 99.00

Pressure

Why the state feels difficult

The required rate is elevated, so the current resource position is carrying meaningful chase pressure.

Momentum

How the match is moving

Recent updates have moved toward the batting side. The timeline shows the direction rather than a certainty.

Confidence

How strongly to read the signal

The direction is available, but confidence is reduced because this model update is older than the freshness window.

Model factors

Why the signal leans this way

Expected final 277, 120.5 above the venue average.
Current score is 199.1 runs below resource-adjusted par.
Chase pressure is 99 required runs per over from here.

These are public-safe factors from the current match state; raw training features remain private.

Match briefing

Context beyond the score

Venue behaviourTracking above the venue baseline.

Toss impactToss impact will appear when toss context is available.

Expected score277

Turning point49.0 · 277/5 · +100%

Latest swing0% to 100%

This public briefing reuses the explanation-pack pattern from the intelligence/video workflow. Player picks, market replay, and operator-only fields stay excluded.

Win probability

GR

100%

GR win probability up 100% across the recent overs.

What changed

Latest visible shift

+0% became the clearest public signal for where control moved in the final result.

Why it changed

Current explanation

Expected final 277, 120.5 above the venue average.

What matters next

Next watchpoint

Use the scorecard and commentary archive to verify where the match flipped, then move to the next eligible match intelligence page instead of stopping at the result.

Keep the signal

Get the next match update

Follow the match from score context to model change without losing the live match page.