PAK W vs SL W Turning Point & Match Intelligence | PAK W vs SL W

PAK W vs SL W Match Intelligence And Turning Point Review

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Public model signal

Pakistan

Chasing side is still within the model's scoring range.

100%
Score275/2
Overs46.5 overs
Expected finalExpected final 299
BattingPakistan
BowlingSri Lanka
CRRCRR 5.87
RRRRRR -0.32
ResourcesResources 9.3%
Resource WPResource WP 100%
Par paceScore vs par pace 15.8
PressurePressure -0.41
How these metrics are calculated
  • CRR: current runs divided by completed overs. RRR: runs still required divided by overs remaining.
  • Expected final: resource-calculator estimate for the completed innings. Projected score: current-rate extrapolation.
  • Venue average: full-innings venue scoring baseline. Score vs par: current score minus resource-adjusted par.
  • Resources: model-calculated resources remaining. Resource WP: the structural win probability from that resource state.
  • Model probability: calibrated public win probability from the selected gender-aware T20 or ODI model.

Sources: the public-safe prediction payload and the match snapshot. Raw training features are not exposed.

Win Probability

Current model probability

Pakistan 100%PAK W 0%

The probability line shows how the model view changed during the match, keeping the first-innings batting side as the same reference across both innings.

3.4Innings 246.5
Model probability by update 50% balance
Open prediction update log (600 updates)
Inn 1 · 3.417/065%Expected 235
Inn 1 · 3.517/065%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 4.018/069%Expected 235
Inn 1 · 4.118/069%Expected 233
Inn 1 · 4.119/069%Expected 236
Inn 1 · 4.219/069%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 4.319/069%Expected 232
Inn 1 · 4.420/069%Expected 233
Inn 1 · 4.419/169%Expected 230
Inn 1 · 4.519/169%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 5.019/167%Expected 226
Inn 1 · 5.120/167%Expected 227
Inn 1 · 5.220/167%Expected 225
Inn 1 · 5.324/167%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 5.424/167%Expected 232
Inn 1 · 5.525/169%Expected 232
Inn 1 · 6.025/163%Expected 230
Inn 1 · 6.125/163%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 6.226/163%Expected 229
Inn 1 · 6.326/163%Expected 227
Inn 1 · 6.428/168%Expected 230
Inn 1 · 6.528/168%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 7.032/167%Expected 237
Inn 1 · 7.132/167%Expected 235
Inn 1 · 7.232/167%Expected 233
Inn 1 · 7.336/167%Expected 242
Inn 1 · 7.436/167%Expected 240
Inn 1 · 7.536/167%Expected 238
Inn 1 · 8.036/160%Expected 236
Inn 1 · 8.136/160%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 8.237/160%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 8.238/160%Expected 237
Inn 1 · 8.340/160%Expected 240
Inn 1 · 8.339/160%Expected 238
Inn 1 · 8.440/160%Expected 238
Inn 1 · 8.542/160%Expected 242
Inn 1 · 9.042/161%Expected 240
Inn 1 · 9.146/161%Expected 249
Inn 1 · 9.246/161%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 9.346/161%Expected 244
Inn 1 · 9.446/161%Expected 242
Inn 1 · 9.447/161%Expected 245
Inn 1 · 9.547/161%Expected 243
Inn 1 · 10.047/164%Expected 241
Inn 1 · 10.147/164%Expected 239
Inn 1 · 10.248/164%Expected 240
Inn 1 · 10.350/165%Expected 244
Inn 1 · 10.450/165%Expected 242
Inn 1 · 10.550/164%Expected 240
Inn 1 · 11.051/164%Expected 241
Inn 1 · 11.155/164%Expected 250
Inn 1 · 11.255/264%Expected 245
Inn 1 · 11.356/264%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 11.457/264%Expected 247
Inn 1 · 11.557/264%Expected 245
Inn 1 · 12.057/265%Expected 243
Inn 1 · 12.157/265%Expected 242
Inn 1 · 12.257/265%Expected 240
Inn 1 · 12.357/265%Expected 238
Inn 1 · 12.457/265%Expected 236
Inn 1 · 12.557/265%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 13.057/266%Expected 233
Inn 1 · 13.158/266%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 13.258/266%Expected 232
Inn 1 · 13.358/266%Expected 230
Inn 1 · 13.458/266%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 13.559/266%Expected 229
Inn 1 · 14.059/263%Expected 227
Inn 1 · 14.160/265%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 14.261/265%Expected 229
Inn 1 · 14.362/265%Expected 230
Inn 1 · 14.462/265%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 14.563/265%Expected 229
Inn 1 · 15.063/263%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 15.164/263%Expected 228
Inn 1 · 15.264/263%Expected 226
Inn 1 · 15.364/259%Expected 225
Inn 1 · 15.465/263%Expected 225
Inn 1 · 15.565/259%Expected 224
Inn 1 · 16.065/259%Expected 222
Inn 1 · 16.165/259%Expected 220
Inn 1 · 16.266/259%Expected 221
Inn 1 · 16.372/259%Expected 235
Inn 1 · 16.473/259%Expected 236
Inn 1 · 16.573/259%Expected 234
Inn 1 · 17.077/260%Expected 243
Inn 1 · 17.078/260%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 17.179/267%Expected 247
Inn 1 · 17.279/260%Expected 245
Inn 1 · 17.380/267%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 17.480/260%Expected 244
Inn 1 · 17.481/267%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 17.582/267%Expected 247
Inn 1 · 18.082/261%Expected 245
Inn 1 · 18.182/260%Expected 243
Inn 1 · 18.283/260%Expected 244
Inn 1 · 18.383/260%Expected 242
Inn 1 · 18.483/260%Expected 241
Inn 1 · 18.587/267%Expected 250
Inn 1 · 19.087/263%Expected 248
Inn 1 · 19.188/263%Expected 248
Inn 1 · 19.289/263%Expected 249
Inn 1 · 19.390/263%Expected 250
Inn 1 · 19.389/263%Expected 247
Inn 1 · 19.489/263%Expected 245
Inn 1 · 19.589/263%Expected 243
Inn 1 · 19.590/263%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 20.091/260%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 20.191/260%Expected 245
Inn 1 · 20.292/260%Expected 246
Inn 1 · 20.393/260%Expected 247
Inn 1 · 20.494/260%Expected 248
Inn 1 · 20.594/260%Expected 247
Inn 1 · 21.098/258%Expected 255
Inn 1 · 21.1102/269%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 21.198/258%Expected 254
Inn 1 · 21.298/258%Expected 252
Inn 1 · 21.399/258%Expected 253
Inn 1 · 21.499/258%Expected 252
Inn 1 · 21.599/258%Expected 250
Inn 1 · 22.0100/262%Expected 251
Inn 1 · 22.1101/262%Expected 252
Inn 1 · 22.2102/262%Expected 253
Inn 1 · 22.3108/272%Expected 266
Inn 1 · 22.4108/269%Expected 265
Inn 1 · 22.5108/269%Expected 263
Inn 1 · 23.0109/267%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 23.1110/275%Expected 265
Inn 1 · 23.2110/275%Expected 263
Inn 1 · 23.3111/275%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 23.4112/275%Expected 265
Inn 1 · 23.5112/275%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 24.0113/273%Expected 265
Inn 1 · 24.1113/273%Expected 263
Inn 1 · 24.2114/273%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 24.2115/274%Expected 266
Inn 1 · 24.3119/278%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 24.4120/278%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 24.4123/278%Expected 281
Inn 1 · 24.5123/278%Expected 280
Inn 1 · 25.0127/278%Expected 287
Inn 1 · 25.1128/278%Expected 287
Inn 1 · 25.2128/278%Expected 285
Inn 1 · 25.3128/278%Expected 283
Inn 1 · 25.4128/278%Expected 281
Inn 1 · 25.5132/278%Expected 287
Inn 1 · 26.0133/281%Expected 287
Inn 1 · 26.1133/365%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 26.2133/365%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 26.3133/365%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 26.5135/365%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 26.4135/365%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 26.4134/365%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 26.5134/365%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 27.0134/366%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 27.1134/366%Expected 266
Inn 1 · 27.2134/366%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 27.3134/366%Expected 263
Inn 1 · 27.4134/366%Expected 262
Inn 1 · 27.5134/366%Expected 261
Inn 1 · 28.0134/369%Expected 260
Inn 1 · 28.1134/369%Expected 259
Inn 1 · 28.2135/369%Expected 259
Inn 1 · 28.3136/369%Expected 260
Inn 1 · 28.4136/369%Expected 259
Inn 1 · 28.5140/369%Expected 265
Inn 1 · 29.0140/368%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 29.1144/369%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 29.2148/369%Expected 276
Inn 1 · 29.3148/369%Expected 275
Inn 1 · 29.4148/369%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 29.5149/369%Expected 275
Inn 1 · 30.0149/371%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 30.1149/371%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 30.2149/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 30.3150/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 30.4150/371%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 30.5150/370%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 31.0154/371%Expected 275
Inn 1 · 31.0155/371%Expected 276
Inn 1 · 31.1156/371%Expected 277
Inn 1 · 31.2156/371%Expected 275
Inn 1 · 31.3156/371%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 31.4157/371%Expected 275
Inn 1 · 31.5158/371%Expected 275
Inn 1 · 32.0158/370%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 32.1158/370%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 32.2158/370%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 32.3158/370%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 32.4158/370%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 32.5158/370%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 33.0159/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 33.1160/371%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 33.2160/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 33.3161/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 33.4161/371%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 33.5162/371%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 33.5163/371%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 34.0164/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 34.1164/373%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 34.2165/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 34.3166/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 34.4166/373%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 34.5167/373%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 34.5168/373%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 34.5166/373%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 35.0168/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 35.1169/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 35.2169/373%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 35.3169/373%Expected 266
Inn 1 · 35.4169/373%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 35.5169/373%Expected 263
Inn 1 · 36.0169/371%Expected 261
Inn 1 · 36.1169/371%Expected 260
Inn 1 · 36.2173/371%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 36.3174/371%Expected 264
Inn 1 · 36.4178/371%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 36.5179/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 36.5180/371%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 37.0181/371%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 37.1181/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 37.2182/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 37.3186/371%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 37.4186/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 37.5186/371%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 38.0186/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 38.1186/371%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 38.2190/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 38.4191/371%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 38.3191/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 38.3192/371%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 38.4192/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 38.5193/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 39.0193/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 39.1194/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 39.2198/373%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 39.3198/373%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 39.4199/373%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 39.5202/373%Expected 275
Inn 1 · 40.0203/374%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 40.1204/374%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 40.2205/374%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 40.3206/374%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 40.4206/374%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 40.5206/374%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 41.0207/375%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 41.1208/375%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 41.2212/375%Expected 276
Inn 1 · 41.3212/375%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 41.4213/375%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 41.5213/375%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 42.0213/373%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 42.1214/373%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 42.2215/373%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 42.3215/373%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 42.4215/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 42.5216/373%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 43.0216/371%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 43.1216/371%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 43.2220/371%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 43.3221/374%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 43.4221/465%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 43.5222/465%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 44.0222/466%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 44.1226/466%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 44.2226/466%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 44.3227/466%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 44.4228/466%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 44.5229/466%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 45.0231/460%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 45.1231/460%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 45.2235/469%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 45.3236/469%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 45.4236/469%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 45.5236/460%Expected 268
Inn 1 · 45.5237/469%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 46.0238/470%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 46.1238/462%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 46.2239/462%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 46.3240/465%Expected 267
Inn 1 · 46.4244/470%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 46.5245/470%Expected 269
Inn 1 · 47.0249/469%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 47.1253/469%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 47.2254/469%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 47.3255/469%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 47.4256/469%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 47.5257/469%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 48.0257/470%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 48.1261/470%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 48.2262/470%Expected 274
Inn 1 · 48.3262/563%Expected 273
Inn 1 · 48.4263/562%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 48.5264/562%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 49.0265/557%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 49.1266/557%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 49.2267/557%Expected 271
Inn 1 · 49.3268/557%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 49.4269/557%Expected 270
Inn 1 · 49.5273/557%Expected 272
Inn 1 · 50.0273/562%Expected 273
Inn 2 · 50.0273/591%Expected 273
Inn 2 · Update0/038%Expected 228
Inn 2 · 0.10/037%Expected 226
Inn 2 · 0.11/037%Expected 229
Inn 2 · 0.21/036%Expected 227
Inn 2 · 0.31/035%Expected 225
Inn 2 · 0.42/034%Expected 226
Inn 2 · 0.52/033%Expected 224
Inn 2 · 1.02/032%Expected 222
Inn 2 · 1.12/031%Expected 220
Inn 2 · 1.22/030%Expected 218
Inn 2 · 1.33/029%Expected 219
Inn 2 · 1.43/028%Expected 218
Inn 2 · 1.54/027%Expected 219
Inn 2 · 2.05/027%Expected 220
Inn 2 · 2.19/026%Expected 229
Inn 2 · 2.29/025%Expected 227
Inn 2 · 2.39/024%Expected 225
Inn 2 · 2.410/023%Expected 226
Inn 2 · 2.510/022%Expected 225
Inn 2 · 3.010/022%Expected 223
Inn 2 · 3.110/021%Expected 221
Inn 2 · 3.210/020%Expected 219
Inn 2 · 3.310/019%Expected 217
Inn 2 · 3.414/019%Expected 227
Inn 2 · 3.514/019%Expected 225
Inn 2 · 4.020/023%Expected 240
Inn 2 · 4.120/116%Expected 238
Inn 2 · 4.221/115%Expected 239
Inn 2 · 4.322/114%Expected 240
Inn 2 · 4.422/113%Expected 239
Inn 2 · 4.522/112%Expected 237
Inn 2 · 4.523/112%Expected 240
Inn 2 · 5.023/113%Expected 238
Inn 2 · 5.124/112%Expected 238
Inn 2 · 5.225/111%Expected 239
Inn 2 · 5.226/111%Expected 242
Inn 2 · 5.327/111%Expected 243
Inn 2 · 5.427/110%Expected 240
Inn 2 · 5.528/19%Expected 241
Inn 2 · 5.529/111%Expected 244
Inn 2 · 6.029/17%Expected 242
Inn 2 · 6.130/17%Expected 242
Inn 2 · 6.231/17%Expected 243
Inn 2 · 6.331/17%Expected 241
Inn 2 · 6.433/18%Expected 244
Inn 2 · 6.533/17%Expected 242
Inn 2 · 7.033/18%Expected 240
Inn 2 · 7.134/18%Expected 241
Inn 2 · 7.235/18%Expected 241
Inn 2 · 7.336/18%Expected 242
Inn 2 · 7.436/18%Expected 240
Inn 2 · 7.536/18%Expected 238
Inn 2 · 8.036/19%Expected 236
Inn 2 · 8.136/19%Expected 234
Inn 2 · 8.240/19%Expected 243
Inn 2 · 8.341/19%Expected 243
Inn 2 · 8.441/19%Expected 241
Inn 2 · 8.545/19%Expected 250
Inn 2 · 9.045/111%Expected 248
Inn 2 · 9.145/111%Expected 246
Inn 2 · 9.246/111%Expected 246
Inn 2 · 9.346/111%Expected 244
Inn 2 · 9.447/111%Expected 245
Inn 2 · 9.548/111%Expected 246
Inn 2 · 10.048/119%Expected 244
Inn 2 · 10.148/119%Expected 242
Inn 2 · 10.249/119%Expected 243
Inn 2 · 10.350/119%Expected 244
Inn 2 · 10.454/119%Expected 253
Inn 2 · 10.554/119%Expected 251
Inn 2 · 11.055/117%Expected 252
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Inn 2 · 11.152/117%Expected 242
Inn 2 · 11.256/117%Expected 251
Inn 2 · 11.356/117%Expected 249
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Inn 2 · 12.059/117%Expected 252
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Inn 2 · 12.261/117%Expected 254
Inn 2 · 12.362/117%Expected 255
Inn 2 · 12.463/117%Expected 256
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Inn 2 · 12.563/117%Expected 254
Inn 2 · 13.064/115%Expected 255
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Inn 2 · 13.265/115%Expected 254
Inn 2 · 13.365/115%Expected 252
Inn 2 · 13.466/115%Expected 253
Inn 2 · 13.470/120%Expected 264
Inn 2 · 13.570/120%Expected 263
Inn 2 · 14.070/124%Expected 261
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Inn 2 · 14.372/124%Expected 261
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Inn 2 · 15.073/123%Expected 258
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Inn 2 · 15.275/123%Expected 260
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Inn 2 · 15.480/132%Expected 271
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Inn 2 · 16.080/129%Expected 268
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Inn 2 · 19.5103/152%Expected 291
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Inn 2 · 20.4105/143%Expected 286
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Inn 2 · 21.0106/144%Expected 284
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Inn 2 · 21.4109/151%Expected 283
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Inn 2 · 22.0110/150%Expected 281
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Inn 2 · 22.2111/148%Expected 280
Inn 2 · 22.3111/143%Expected 278
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Inn 2 · 22.4112/143%Expected 278
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Inn 2 · 23.0113/139%Expected 277
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Inn 2 · 23.3117/139%Expected 280
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Inn 2 · 30.0147/126%Expected 278
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Inn 2 · 31.1158/168%Expected 287
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Inn 2 · 31.4168/176%Expected 300
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Inn 2 · 33.0177/178%Expected 304
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Inn 2 · 33.2177/178%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 33.3177/178%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 33.4178/178%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 33.5179/178%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 34.0180/177%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 34.1181/177%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 34.2182/177%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 34.3186/177%Expected 306
Inn 2 · 34.4186/177%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 34.5187/177%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 35.0189/176%Expected 306
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Inn 2 · 35.2190/176%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 35.3191/176%Expected 304
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Inn 2 · 35.5193/176%Expected 303
Inn 2 · 36.0197/177%Expected 307
Inn 2 · 36.1201/180%Expected 311
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Inn 2 · 36.3202/177%Expected 309
Inn 2 · 36.3203/180%Expected 311
Inn 2 · 36.4203/177%Expected 309
Inn 2 · 36.5204/177%Expected 309
Inn 2 · 37.0204/177%Expected 307
Inn 2 · 37.1205/177%Expected 307
Inn 2 · 37.2206/177%Expected 306
Inn 2 · 37.3206/177%Expected 305
Inn 2 · 37.4207/177%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 37.5208/177%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 38.0212/191%Expected 308
Inn 2 · 38.1213/191%Expected 308
Inn 2 · 38.2215/191%Expected 309
Inn 2 · 38.3216/191%Expected 308
Inn 2 · 38.4216/191%Expected 307
Inn 2 · 38.5220/195%Expected 311
Inn 2 · 39.0220/194%Expected 309
Inn 2 · 39.1221/194%Expected 309
Inn 2 · 39.2222/194%Expected 308
Inn 2 · 39.3222/288%Expected 307
Inn 2 · 39.4222/288%Expected 306
Inn 2 · 39.5222/288%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 40.0223/289%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 40.1223/285%Expected 303
Inn 2 · 40.2223/284%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 40.3224/284%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 40.3225/289%Expected 302
Inn 2 · 40.4226/289%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 40.5230/293%Expected 305
Inn 2 · 41.0231/293%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 41.1233/293%Expected 305
Inn 2 · 41.2235/293%Expected 306
Inn 2 · 41.3235/293%Expected 304
Inn 2 · 41.4235/293%Expected 303
Inn 2 · 41.5236/293%Expected 302
Inn 2 · 42.0236/289%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 42.1236/289%Expected 299
Inn 2 · 42.2236/289%Expected 297
Inn 2 · 42.3238/289%Expected 298
Inn 2 · 42.4239/289%Expected 298
Inn 2 · 42.5240/289%Expected 297
Inn 2 · 43.0244/296%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 43.1245/296%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 43.2249/296%Expected 303
Inn 2 · 43.3250/296%Expected 303
Inn 2 · 43.5251/296%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 43.4250/296%Expected 301
Inn 2 · 43.5252/296%Expected 302
Inn 2 · 43.5253/297%Expected 303
Inn 2 · 44.0253/296%Expected 302
Inn 2 · 44.1253/296%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 44.2254/296%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 44.3255/296%Expected 299
Inn 2 · 44.4257/297%Expected 300
Inn 2 · 44.5257/296%Expected 299
Inn 2 · 45.0257/297%Expected 297
Inn 2 · 45.1258/297%Expected 297
Inn 2 · 45.2260/299%Expected 297
Inn 2 · 45.3260/299%Expected 296
Inn 2 · 45.4261/299%Expected 295
Inn 2 · 45.5261/297%Expected 294
Inn 2 · 46.0261/298%Expected 292
Inn 2 · 46.1265/299%Expected 295
Inn 2 · 46.3271/2100%Expected 298
Inn 2 · 46.2267/2100%Expected 295
Inn 2 · 46.3270/2100%Expected 297
Inn 2 · 46.4271/2100%Expected 297
Inn 2 · 46.5275/2100%Expected 299

Expected finish

Expected final versus venue

Expected final comes from the model resource calculator; venue average is the full-innings venue scoring baseline.

Expected finalExpected final 299
Venue averageVenue average 193.0

Resource and pace

What the innings has left

Par pace compares current score with resource-adjusted par. CRR is runs per over; RRR is the required chase rate.

Resources remainingResources 9.3%
CRR / RRRCRR 5.87 · RRR -0.32

Pressure

Why the state feels difficult

The current resource position is broadly balanced.

Momentum

How the match is moving

Recent updates have moved toward the batting side. The timeline shows the direction rather than a certainty.

Confidence

How strongly to read the signal

The direction is available, but confidence is reduced because this model update is older than the freshness window.

Model factors

Why the signal leans this way

  • Expected final 299, 106 above the venue average.
  • Current score is 15.8 runs above resource-adjusted par.
  • Current scoring rate is 5.9 runs per over.

These are public-safe factors from the current match state; raw training features remain private.

Match briefing

Context beyond the score

Venue behaviourTracking above the venue baseline.

Toss impactToss impact will appear when toss context is available.

Expected score299

Turning point46.3 · 271/2 · +1%

Latest swing100% to 100%

This public briefing reuses the explanation-pack pattern from the intelligence/video workflow. Player picks, market replay, and operator-only fields stay excluded.

Win probability

Pakistan

100%

Chasing side is still within the model's scoring range.

What changed

Latest visible shift

+1% became the clearest public signal for where control moved in the final result.

Why it changed

Current explanation

Expected final 299, 106 above the venue average.

What matters next

Next watchpoint

Use the scorecard and commentary archive to verify where the match flipped, then move to the next eligible match intelligence page instead of stopping at the result.

Keep the signal

Get the next match update

Follow the match from score context to model change without losing the live match page.