Win Probability
Current model probability
--SCA --
The probability line shows how the model view changed during the match.
StartMatch updatesNow
The probability timeline will appear after the first live model updates.
SCA vs UP Match Intelligence And Turning Point Review
Powered by Crickzen Match Model
Public model signal
Model direction
This completed-state intelligence surface is intended to explain where the match swung, how the pressure changed, and which phase mattered most to the final result.
ScoreAwaiting score
OversNot started
Expected finalAwaiting model projection
How these metrics are calculated
- CRR: current runs divided by completed overs. RRR: runs still required divided by overs remaining.
- Expected final: resource-calculator estimate for the completed innings. Projected score: current-rate extrapolation.
- Venue average: full-innings venue scoring baseline. Score vs par: current score minus resource-adjusted par.
- Resources: model-calculated resources remaining. Resource WP: the structural win probability from that resource state.
- Model probability: calibrated public win probability from the selected gender-aware T20 or ODI model.
Sources: the public-safe prediction payload and the match snapshot. Raw training features are not exposed.
Expected finish
Expected final versus venue
Expected final comes from the model resource calculator; venue average is the full-innings venue scoring baseline.
Expected-final context will appear when the model snapshot is ready.
Resource and pace
What the innings has left
Par pace compares current score with resource-adjusted par. CRR is runs per over; RRR is the required chase rate.
Pressure
Why the state feels difficult
Pressure commentary will appear when the model exposes a live resource snapshot.
Momentum
How the match is moving
Momentum will become clearer after more probability updates accumulate.
Confidence
How strongly to read the signal
Confidence cannot be described until a current public model probability is available.
Win probability
Model direction unavailable
No trustworthy probability is available yet for this match snapshot.
This completed-state intelligence surface is intended to explain where the match swung, how the pressure changed, and which phase mattered most to the final result.
What changed
Latest visible shift
The result is locked in, so the important job is identifying the decisive over, wicket phase, or chase-pressure swing that actually flipped control.
Why it changed
Current explanation
The completed explanation should focus on the phase where wickets, pace of scoring, or chase pressure stopped the recovery path.
What matters next
Next watchpoint
Use the scorecard and commentary archive to verify where the match flipped, then move to the next eligible match intelligence page instead of stopping at the result.
Keep the signal
Get the next match update
Follow the match from score context to model change without losing the live match page.